Mid-Year Tax Planning: Why You Need a Baseline Before You Can Save on TaxesĀ
Jul 24, 2026
If you wait until tax season to think about your taxes, you've already missed many of your best planning opportunities.
The middle of the year is the ideal time to stop guessing and start planning. Before you look at deductions or tax-saving strategies, you need to answer one question:
Where are you likely to finish the year?
Once you know that, you can make informed decisions that may reduce your tax bill, improve cash flow, and eliminate surprises when it's time to file your return.
If you'd rather listen to this topic, I cover it in Episode 167 of the Wealth Game Podcast:
https://www.wealthgame.io/podcasts/wealth-game/episodes/2149239777
Step 1: Establish Your Baseline
Every tax planning conversation starts the same way.
First, determine where you are today.
Then project where you'll be by year-end.
That projection becomes your baseline. It tells you what your tax situation looks like if nothing changes.
Once you have that number, you can evaluate whether any planning strategies are worth implementing.
If You're a W-2 Employee
The process is relatively straightforward.
Start with your most recent pay stub and review:
- Year-to-date wages
- Year-to-date federal withholding
- Year-to-date state withholding
If your salary is consistent throughout the year, you can often estimate your year-end numbers by projecting those figures forward.
You'll also want to consider expected deductions, such as:
- Mortgage interest
- Charitable contributions
- Other recurring deductions
With those numbers, you can estimate whether you're likely to receive a refund or owe additional tax.
If You're a Business Owner
Business owners need accurate financial statements before any planning can begin.
Your bookkeeping should be current so you can review:
- Total revenue
- Business expenses
- Year-to-date net profit
That net profit is the starting point for your projection.
If your business is steady throughout the year, a simple estimate may be sufficient.
If your revenue is seasonal or fluctuates significantly, you'll need a more realistic projection instead of simply doubling your current results.
The important part is having a reasonable estimate of where the business will finish the year.
Why the Baseline Matters
Once you know your projected tax position, planning becomes much more effective.
Instead of guessing which strategies might help, you can measure their impact.
You can evaluate opportunities such as:
- Adjusting withholding
- Purchasing business assets
- Paying qualified family members
- Prepaying eligible expenses
- Changing business structures
- Coordinating other deductible activities
Rather than implementing strategies blindly, you can compare different options and determine which ones produce the best outcome for your situation.
Retirement Planning Is Also Tax Planning
Many retirees assume tax planning becomes less important once they're no longer working.
In many cases, the opposite is true.
Retirement distributions often provide significant flexibility.
Depending on your overall income for the year, it may make sense to:
- Take larger distributions in lower-income years
- Reduce distributions in higher-income years
- Coordinate withdrawals with other gains or losses
The timing of retirement distributions can significantly affect the tax bracket those withdrawals fall into.
Planning those decisions throughout the year can make a meaningful difference in your overall tax liability.
Conclusion
The biggest mistake isn't missing a deduction.
It's waiting too long to start planning.
Mid-year is the time to establish your baseline:
- Determine where you are today.
- Project where you'll finish the year.
- Evaluate planning opportunities before the year is over.
Once you understand your numbers, you're no longer guessing. You're making decisions based on a clear picture of your tax situation, and that's where effective tax planning begins.
If you'd rather hear me walk through these ideas with examples, listen to Episode 167 of the Wealth Game Podcast: https://www.wealthgame.io/podcasts/wealth-game/episodes/2149239777
Want to start applying strategies like this to your own investments?